Oct 16, 2004, 10:22 PM

Tehran Times Opinion Column, Oct. 17, By Hassan Hanizadeh

Hidden players brewing coup in Iraq

TEHRAN, Oct. 16 (MNA) -- The recent activities of the United States and some of Iraq’s neighboring countries as well as some undiplomatic statements by several Iraqi military and security officials indicate that a military coup against the majority in Iraq is being planned.

The recent irresponsible statements of Iraqi National Intelligence chief Mohammed al-Shahwani suggest that internal and foreign elements are forming a conspiracy to surreptitiously return remnants of the Baath Party to power. In addition, it is a bad omen that the staff of Iraq’s National Intelligence Agency is mainly made up of former Baath Party members.

 

Three significant incidents over the past month illustrate that a hidden hand is at work with the goal of staging a military coup to usurp power from the Iraqi nation.

 

The sudden dispatch of over 50,000 Iraqi military and police forces to Jordan for training is a sign that something is afoot.

 

It is common practice for the lower ranks of the police and military forces to be trained in their home country. Usually only high-ranking officers and commanders are sent abroad for training. In light of this, the fact that new recruits to the Iraqi police and the newly-established military forces have been dispatched to Jordan indicates that they are going to be prepared for a significant mission.

 

On the other hand, the United States has sent 60 Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) officials to Jordan on the pretext that they will be interrogating some Al-Qaeda members. This is also part of the U.S. plot to stage a military coup against the Iraqi nation.

 

Al-Shahwani recently claimed that former members of the Badr Brigades, a militia that was affiliated to the Iraqi Shia party the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution of Iraq (SCIRI), have assassinated some officials of Iraq’s National Intelligence Agency. This statement is meant to lay the groundwork for the formation of a conspiracy to disarm Iraqi Shia groups.

 

Al-Shahwani stressed the necessity of disarming the former members of the officially disbanded Badr Brigades, which is now a political organization.

 

The Iraqi interim government has already disarmed some members of another Shia militia, the Al-Mahdi Army, a move which is not in accordance with the agreement reached between the leaders of the Al-Mahdi Army and Iraqi political parties that brought an end to the bloody skirmishes in Najaf.

 

Iraqi interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi’s government’s insistence on disarming the Shia groups and the questionable visits of Iraqi officials to Jordan reveal that a conspiracy against the Iraqi nation is being formed.

 

Meanwhile, there are reports that the Al-Dalim, Al-Takrit, Al-Jabour, and Al-A’ni tribes have kept their arms and are being prepared to play an active role in Iraq’s political future, while most of the Iraqi Shia groups in central and southern Iraq have handed over their weapons.

 

Therefore, since the United States has failed to establish security in Iraq and is afraid of the formation of the establishment of a free and independent Iraqi government through a nationwide plebiscite, CIA experts predict two scenarios if the occupying forces withdraw from Iraq.

 

In the first scenario the Shias would assume power, which is viewed as a threat to some of Iraq’s neighboring Arab countries.

 

A civil war in Iraq which would lead the region into a new crisis is the second scenario.

 

After consultations with some Arab countries on ways to avoid a crisis, the United States has decided to arrange a military coup with the assistance of young Baathists and some Iraqi secular figures.

    

The disarming of the Iraqi Shia and the accusations claiming that former members of the Badr Brigades and SCIRI have assassinated members of Iraq’s National Intelligence Agency are the first steps of the military coup in Iraq.

 

SA/HG

End

 

MNA

News ID 8492

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